Remember to sign up using the code TDXYFRKQL to get a free £25 towards your bank balance!

Laying the Draw

It is probably both the easiest and most famous method traders use and can be extremely profitable if done correctly.

It is pretty basic and goes as follows,

1. Find a game where there are two similar ability teams, where preferable the favourite is playing at home.

2. Lay the draw.

3. Watch both the game you're betting on and the odds changing.

4. What you need now is a team to score or even dominate.

5. When a goal goes in you will usually be straight in profit as the draw odds should shoot up.

6. Here you cash out to green up (profit no matter what outcome)

 

This is the simplist method to use on the football and can bring you consistant profits if you choose games that are not 0-0. You have to be strict if you want to profit, because you may be tempted to leave it and let the game go on, but how many times does the opposing team equalise? Quite a lot! Then you will be either forced into taking a loss or risk losing a huge chunk of your betting bank.

 

I personally wait until around the 60th minute to cash out at a loss if no goals are scored. If the game is very one sided and a goal looks like coming then I might let it run a little longer and pray for a goal, but in the long term its better to take a small loss.

 

Don't be greedy! You may be laying £150 for a £50 profit so you don't want to be risking it all or your bank balance will soon drop. You can always cover the 0-0 but this would obviously put a dent into your profits so that's not something  normally do!


Under/Over 2.5 Goals

This is similar to the Draw trading method but the opposite is required. This is explained easier below:

 

Find a game where the teams are fairly equal so that early goals are not likely to occur

 

Back the market for UNDER 2.5 goals. Here If the odds are higher, more profit will be made as the odds will drop fairly rapidly if no goals are scored early, however this is usually the case where there is a clear favourite (e.g. Real Madrid at home) and the odds are around 4.00. Whereas if the game is quite close, (e.g. the two bottom/top teams in the league) the odds for under 2.5 will be lower as less goals are likely to be score. This is good for us as it is less of a risk however the odds will not move as much so less profit will be made.

A good range of odds is to meet in the middle between 1.8 and 2.2.

 

Once you have backed the under 2.5 goal market, i would advise to watch the game live to see if any team is dominating in the early minutes. If the ball is in the middle of the pitch, the odds will usually drop as there is less likely to be a goal as no team is attacking.

 

Depending on the amount of attacks in the early minutes, I would advise to cash out at around 10 minutes, 5 minutes can be done for less risk but you will find a greater odds change at 10 minutes by about 3-4 times. From experience I would say on average every £100 you back, you will cash out just over £12 at 10 minutes.

 

This has proven very profitable lately, especially in premier league games as in English games, there is a goal in the first 10 minutes in just 5% of the games. However be aware because when a goal does go in, you will have to cash out at a significant loss because if one more goal goes in early, you will either cash out for a loss of around 90% or risk losing all of your money placed on the trade.



Correct Score Trading

There are loads of ways to trade the correct score market so i'm going to explain a couple of them. This one is a bit of a trial and error trade and you need to download the calculator from the link at the bottom. The calculator will show what return you will get if you input the odds for every score outcome on the Betfair market. This usually will be in tghe negative before the game. However, this is where the trial and error comes into play. If you leave out some of the higher odds when youre placing your bets (so you back, 0-0, 1-0 2-0, 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 2-2) so that your covered for when a goal goes in either way, you can then input the odds as they change throughout the game, and the calculator will show you what to bet on, and how much to stake. Again, the less markets you back before the match, the more profit you will make, which can be huge. It is difficult to advise stakes on this and % profits as there are that many different outcomes its impossible to be accurate. All you need to remember if you back scores where their odds are at a peak, you will make money.

 

This is all easier understood once you have the calculator and you'll see what I mean.

 

The big games will have a cash out button but dont be too eager to use this unless you want to be extra safe. Because if it is 0-0 at HT the cash out button will level out all outcomes, but it is rare that it will go to 3-3 so you might want to hold off a bit and do it manually by sticking to your calculator.

 

*** As this is quite a complicated method with a lot of outcomes, I would advise to do it with a game tonight, maybe a champions league game where a lot of money is available, and use as smaller stake as possible, so that you get used to the massive range of odds on the scores. ***

 

 

The calculator is available to download here:

 

http://www.4shared.com/office/9OC7ERwJ/Correct_Scores.html

 

Try inputting the scores now and changing them about so you're familiar with how the calculator works.

 

*** ONLY EDIT THE TOTAL STAKE AND ODDS BOXES ***



Basic Tennis Trading


Tennis trading is extremely useful during the summer months when the football has gone a bit quite, especially when there isnt internationals on. This is the most basic tennis method out there but for between 30 seconds and 5 minutes work you can easily make 10% profit.

 

There are two options of when to back the player and enter the market.

 

Option 1 (Easiest):

This can be on either the "set winner" markets, where you might get a bit more of a range of odds, or the "overall winner" market. Just when the favourite is about to serve, preferably when the other player has held his service game so the odds are at a peak. When the favourite then holds his serve, the odds for him to win the set/match will drop. You can then cash out and lay him for a quick, easy profit.

 

Option 2:

This is the quickest way to make money. However you need a tie break (6-6) to trade here. Basically, you back the favourite again when its his serve and lay him either after he wins one point or two points. The best situation for this is if he serves second in the tie break so goes 1-0 down and then back him, then he wins his two serves to make it 1-2 and then you can lay out to usually make a minimum of 10% profit, so this trade can literally last 10 seconds if an ace is hit!



T20 Trading - 1st Innings

Three trading strategies for the first innings of a T20 cricket match:

 

1. If the batting side get off to a flying start then the best time to lay them would be after around three-seven overs, when the team batting are priced between 1.3-1.5.

 

2. If the bowling side take a few early wickets in the first ten overs, then look to lay them between odds of 1.3-1.5. In the Twenty20 version of the game, wickets are of less importance as the batsmen only have to play 20 overs. Also, it only takes a couple of players to come to the crease and hit 20 to 30 runs in one over to completely change the direction of the game.

 

3. These matches also present some excellent low-risk trading opportunities when there is a strong pre-match favourite playing, especially if they are priced between 1.4-1.6. This is because if the favourites make a strong start, either batting or bowling, their odds will shorten very rapidly. This makes for a good low lay trade, as in this format of cricket, every team has an equal chance to win.

 

 

The odds change a lot after an event which allows us to green up fairly easily. A 6 or a wicket usually makes the odds change easily by 30 ticks which is a massive change if you think they can go from underdogs at 2.1 to favourites at 1.8.

 

Trial the methods with low stakes so you become used to the way the odds change.



T20 Trading - 2nd Innings

Two trading strategies for the second innings of a Twenty20 cricket match:

 

1. For a high run chase scenario, where the first innings score is between 170-210, if the batting team start well, after around seven-ten overs then look to lay at low odds between 1.2-1.4. Also, if the bowling team have taken early wickets, look to lay at low odds between 1.1-1.3.

 

2. For a low run chase scenario where the first innings score is between 110-140, if the batting team start well, after around two-five overs look to lay at low odds between 1.01-1.2. Also, if the batting team start poorly and lose some early wickets then look to back them at the higher odds between 1.6-1.8



Greyhound Trading Approach


This is one to be cautious of as it is more of a gambling method but fits in with Betfair's laying format. You might have to research into how betting on the dogs works before you put your money down, worth trialing it with small stakes at first:

 

The method is quite simple. You need the Racing Post website Greyhound cards open where they give the picks which you should write down. Then open up the William Hill site and select the card for the same race and once open click on the form box which opens in a new window. Then click the Forecast tab and wrtite down their picks for the race. Compare the two sets of figures.

 

For example (written prevously):

The 12.12 race today had the RP picks as 1-6-5 and WH as 4-2-1 but neither had Trap 3. This is the selected lay. The 12.42 for instance had the RP selections 6-3-1 and WH, 5-6-2 therefore the selected lay/trade was trap 4. Sometimes there are two traps unselected as in the 12.58 where 1 and 2 were left out. Both should be layed for the same stake and the first to be matched is used as the trade cancelling out the unmatched lay. If as in the 13.27 all the traps are covered then ignore the race.

 

It's another method to get us through the summer months with no football until the big tournaments come and make us lots of money!